Summery Pattern

The weather last week was quite summery as Cleveland officially hit the 90 degree mark on two consecutive days. A brief cool down occurred during the weekend but the start of this work week has found the area experiencing warm and humid conditions.  A slow moving system is generating scattered thunderstorms with isolated severe weather and locally heavy rain. Areas that experience repeated bouts of heavy rain will be at risk for flooding. A system will move through by mid-day Wednesday allowing drier air to move in later in the day. Slightly cooler and drier air will move in for Thursday and Friday before a return to much warmer and humid conditions return for the weekend. 

Currently the area is south of a slowly advancing cool front.  Showers and thunderstorms will occur until the front moves through by mid-day Wednesday. Heavy rain will be the main threat but isolated severe weather cannot be ruled out as evidence by the tornado on June 23^rd in Brunswick.

A tornado rated EF1 (top winds 110) moved through the center of Brunswick late Monday evening. Multiple buildings sustained damaged and a few residents were declared uninhabitable.

 Once the cool front moves through Wednesday the area will experience a slightly cooler and dry air mass. High temperatures will be near 80 degrees both days.

The weekend will mark the beginning what looks like an extended period of hot and humid weather for the region. A Bermuda High pressure will set up pumping warm and humid conditions into the area. By Sunday high temperatures will be near 90 degrees. Severe thunderstorms with possible tornadoes will likely across the Central Plains as low pressure moves out of the Rocky Mountains over the weekend. 

In the extended the region will stay under warmer than average conditions. Typical scattered afternoon thunderstorms will be increasing likely across much of the Eastern USA.

Warm Conditions

A warm front has moved north of the region allowing seasonably warm air to return to the area. High temperatures today and Thursday will be near 80 degrees before a weak cool front brings a chance of showers and thunderstorms overnight Thursday and slightly cooler air for Friday. Temperatures will quickly warm over the weekend with high temperatures in the lower 80’s for Sunday.  Warm temperatures will last at least through the middle of next week with high temperatures in the 80’s and a chance of thunderstorms each afternoon.  Looks very much like a typical summertime pattern for the area as a ridge of high pressure gets established over the Southeast  will prevent any substantial cool front from moving through the region next week.

A slowly drifting storm system is affecting the area with storms, some severe, concentrated mostly to the east of the area. A warm front has allowed high temperatures to rise to nearly 80 degrees today; Thursday high temperatures should be just as warm. 

 A weak cool front will move through early Friday morning with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs temperatures will cool back into the middle 70's for the area on Friday and Saturday.

High pressure will prevent any major cool front from moving through during the middle of next week. With the front stalled in the middle section of the country, severe weather will be increasingly likely there as disturbances moving out of the Rocky Mountains and interact with the frontal boundary. High temperatures will be in the 80's area beginning Sunday and  lasting at least into the middle part of next week. 

The winter of 2013-2014 is  truly finally over and the snowfall map shows totals were definitely above normal for much of the region even though there were not any major lake effect storms.  Most snowfall during the season was the result of synoptic systems moving through.The official seasonal snowfall total was 86.1 inches; eighteen (18) inches above normal. The official average temperature during climatological winter was 25.4 degrees which is nearly five (5) degrees below normal. While that stat is definitely colder than normal it is not record setting and nearly matches the 2002-2003 average temperature of 24.5 degrees. That season also officially saw 95.7 inches of snow. 

Rainy Afternoon

A weak system is moving through the Ohio River Valley generating a light steady rain for much of the region this afternoon. This system was responsible for several tornadoes and numerous reports of damaging wind and hail in the mid-section of the country. Today the tornado threat stretches from Southeastern Missouri east into Kentucky. Once this system moves further south slight below normal temperatures will move into the region on Thursday though sunshine should be abundant. Temperatures will warm beginning on Friday and continuing through the weekend with temperatures in the 70’s to near 80 on Sunday. Another front will move through on Sunday which will bring the next chance for rain. Once the rain moves out on Monday sunny conditions and seasonable temperatures should be prevalent for the area through mid-week

A weak system is moving through the Ohio River Valley along a front that is sagging south. North of the front a steady rain is falling with severe thunderstorms occurring from Missouri into Kentucky. Large hail and strong winds are the main threat but a few tornadoes will aslo be possible. Another area of severe weather is occurring along the front range of the Rocky Mountains from Colorado north into Wyoming with large hail and strong winds being the main threats. 

Once the front moves through, high pressure will be in charge of the weather providing seasonable temperatures Thursday and Friday. Much of the active weather will located along the stalled front to the south of the Ohio Valley.

The next weather front will not affect the region until Sunday. High temperatures during the day will be near 80 degrees before the front affects the area later in the day with showers and possible thunderstorms.

In the extended, temperatures will cool down to near seasonable and possibly slight below normal levels as zonal flow dominates the northern tier of the Country. 

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