Warm Christmas

Another week in December in which record warm temperatures and no snowfall has passed. Unfortunately tornado producing storms across the center portion accompanied a storm system that moved through the local area overnight. Christmas is looking much quieter but still mild over the majority of the country. The weather pattern becomes more active for the weekend and to close out the year. Above normal temperatures will generally hold sway for the next week though they will trend downward during the period.

Currently a cool front is located south of the area replacing yesterday's record  high temperatures with temperatures in the middle fifties (50's). Mostly clear skies produced a gorgeous day for last minute shopping even with the cooler temperatures. Record high temperatures occurred for many cities from the Northeast to the Southeast.

Yesterday's severe weather included numerous tornadoes across the Mississippi Valley. The most destructive storms struck northern Mississippi where a strong long track tornado traveled. The number dead from the storms is currently eleven (11). Approximately two dozen tornados occurred with the number sure to change as the damage is surveyed.

On Christmas the weather will be largely quiet for most of the nation. A cool front will transistion into a warm front as it moves north and overrunning rain begins to affect much of the Ohio Valley. Conditions locally will generally be dry but rain will begin to move north into the vicinity late in the evening and overnight. High temperatures locally will rise into the lower fifties (50's) Saturday is looking wet and mild with rain falling much of the day and high temperatures well into the fifties (50's). Severe weather will be possible across eastern Texas and Oklahoma.

On Sunday the cool front will slowly sag south across the region.  Rain will be likely and high temperatures will be in the lower fifties (50's). On Monday cooler air will flow into the area from the northeast as high temperatures only rise to around forty (40) degrees. Though much cooler than the past several days the high temperature will still be a few degrees above normal.

 

On Tuesday a storm system will track to the west of the area and bring milder air back into the region. Precipitation may start as a wintry mix before quickly transitioning to all rain. High temperatures will rise to near fifty (50) degrees. The cool front will move through overnight Tuesday and high temperatures on Wednesday will drop back to into the lower forties(40's) There will be a chance of rain showers early in the day.

Cooler air yet will move into the area on Thursday as a northwest air flow begins to affect the eastern part of the country. This will return temperatures to near normal for the last day of the year. Looking ahead temperatures more typical for winter appear in store for the area for the beginning of the month of January.

Brief "Cold" Period

After a warm week that featured a record high on Monday seasonable air has finally arrived. A series of cool/cold fronts have moved through the area this week and each has lowered temperatures several degrees. The latest moved through this afternoon and brought with it some brief moderate snow showers.  Lake effect snows have also begun to be generated downwind of the Great Lakes and will become more intense overnight. This decrease in temperatures will last about forty-eight(48) hours before much milder air returns to the area for all of next week. Looks like local residents will only be able to dream of a white Christmas this year!

Much more seasonable temperatures have finally arrived for the first half of this weekend. High temperatures today reached the upper thirties (30's) before a cold front brought temperatures below freezing and a few snow showers. Overnight temperatures will be in the middle twenties(20's). Lake Effect snow will begin begin in earnest overnight be focused over the prime snowbelt. Cold temperatures will hang on for Saturday as high temperatures only rise into the middle thirties(30's) at best. 

The lake effect snow tonight into tomorrow will be focused over extreme Northeast Ohio up to Western New York. Accumulations in and around Cleveland will be an inch or less with amounts closer to six (6) inches in Ashtabula. 

On Sunday mild air will return to the area. High temperatures will rise into the forties (40's) and light rain will be possible overnight. 

On Monday even more mild air will move in to the area as a low pressure tracks to the northwest of the area. High temperatures will warm into the lower fifties, depending on cloud cover, before the cool front moves through overnight with a general rainfall. Tuesday temperatures cool slightly but will remain above normal.

On Wednesday a stronger system than the previous one will approach the region and will pull more mild air into the region. High temperatures will rise at least into the upper fifties (50's)! Most of the rain will remain to the west until the overnight hours.

On Christmas Eve the storm system will track to the northwest of the region with the cold front moving through during the day. More rain will accompany the frontal passage and could be heavy at times. High temperatures in the upper fifties (50's) will occur early in the day with steady or slowly falling temperatures throughout the day.

Christmas is looking quiet but very mild for the local area and the country as a whole. It is estimated that only two percent (2%) of the population will experience a white Christmas this year. Locally high temperatures will be in the upper forties(40's) and dry conditions should prevail.
Looking ahead mild temperatures are expected to continue through the end of the month. If this forecast holds true December 2015 will be warmest December on record for Cleveland and one of the least snowiest as well!

Record December Warmth

The mild weather this week has many people wondering if the calendar reading December is correct. High temperatures the entire work week have been in the fifties (50's); well above normal readings for this time of the year. This weekend the warm weather will peak on Saturday and Sunday with high temperatures smashing record highs. A storm system organizing over the West will eventually track east and bring about a weather change. This is will be the first in a coupe active storm systems that will affect the area next week. 

Currently the area is located south of a weather boundary but north of even warming air moving north from the Gulf of Mexico.  Today's high temperature near sixty(60) degrees is twenty degrees above normal! Overnight warmer air will move north into the area setting the stage for an unseasonably warm weekend.

On Saturday the area may see rain showers in the morning as warm air moves north into the area. Once the rain ends temperatures are set to soar into the middle sixties (60's) across northern Ohio! Records will fall if the temperatures make it into the middle sixties (60's). The western system will begin to move into the central Plains during the day. 

Severe storms will be possible tomorrow for eastern sections of Oklahoma and Texas. Severe wind gusts and a few tornadoes will be possible with the strongest storms. The main ingredient lacking will be instability but shear will be present and could make for a few dangerous storms.

On Sunday the storm system over the central portion of the country move further east. The local area will remain in the warm sector with high temperatures in the middle to upper sixties (60's). Depending on the amount of sunshine high temperatures  may touch seventy (70) degrees! Once again records appear poised to fall.

On Monday a storm system will move into the western Great Lakes with a cool front moving through the area. The front will move through the area early in the day with some windy showers. Early morning temperatures near sixty (60) will slowly fall during the day. Tuesday will be cooler with high temperatures in the fifties (50's) though that will at least be ten degrees above normal.

 On Wednesday another storm system will affect the area. Moisture will be limited but a few showers should accompany it's passage. High temperatures on Wednesday will once again be in the fifties (50's). The air behind this front will cool high temperatures to around forty (40) on Thursday.

On Friday air out of the northwest will arrive into the local area. High temperatures in the upper thirties (30's) seem likely with a chance of snow showers. Next weekend temperatures currently appear to be seasonable cool with high temperatures in the middle and upper thirties (30's).  Moving into next week temperatures appear to rebound back into the forties (40's) casting strong doubts on the possibility of a White Christmas for the area.

Mild Fall Weather

November 2015 was the 4th warmest November in Cleveland history! Temperatures for the month averaged more than four(4) degrees above normal and snowfall amounted to nearly one half inch. This is in stark contrast to November 2014 when the average temperature was nearly seven(7) degrees below normal and nearly twenty (20) inches of snow fell. This mild temperature pattern does not show any signs of abating in the near term. Mild wet conditions will occur today before a mid-week cool down brings temperatures back to seasonable levels. As the weekend gets underway temperatures five to ten (5-10) degrees above normal will return. 

Currently a strong upper level storm system is spreading heavy snow across the Upper Plains. This storm system is affecting the local area with light rain and mild conditions. High temperatures today will rise well into the fifties (50's) A cool front will move through overnight allowing seasonal chilly air to return with high temperatures in the forties (40's) on Wednesday. Rain showers during the day may mix and change over to snow overnight. Little accumulation is expected. 

Thursday will be the coolest day of the forecast as high pressure begins to dominate the weather conditions. High temperatures will remain in the lower forties (40's) with a slight chance of snow showers especially early in the day. High pressure moves east across the area on Friday and will begin a period of calm and warming conditions. High temperatures in the middle forties (40's) on Friday will warm to a few degrees of either side of fifty (50) over the weekend. Skies should remain partly to mostly sunny the entire weekend.

The same weather pattern and conditions will continue on Monday as a storm system begins to move out from the Southern Plains. With air of Pacific origins across the country no Arctic air outbreaks are likely for the next seven days or more. 

Major Weather Change

A major albeit progressive weather pattern change is in the cards for Northeast Ohio. After yet another mild November week featuring record high temperatures a strong cold front has moved through the area. Temperatures have progressively cooled each day after Wednesday setting the stage for a very active weather weekend. This weekend will feature the Midwest's first snow storm and coldest air of the season. Do not fret if you are not quite ready for winter to set in as this cold blast will move out nearly as fast as it arrived by the middle of next week.

Before the present cool down reach the area the storm system generated a major late season tornado outbreak from 11/16-11/18. The total number of tornadoes has not been confirmed but will probably be more than forty (40) once over counts are removed.

Currently the local area is experiencing cool but quiet weather conditions. High temperatures today reached the middle forties (40's) which is actually seasonable for this time of year. A storm system is currently emerging from the Rockies and is generating heavy snow over Iowa (6"-12"+).

On Saturday the storm system will further organize and intensify over the middle Mississippi River Valley. Heavy snow totaling (6"-12"+) will blanket Southern Wisconsin and Northern Illinois. The storm system is predicted to move through northern Indiana into Michigan keeping the local area in the warm sector. High temperatures will warm into the middle forties (40's) with rain arriving late in the evening. Colder air will move in after the front moves through overnight changing the rain quickly and briefly to snow. A light accumulation of an inch or less will be possible most areas. Ground temperatures will be warm which may prevent any accumulations from the general snowfall.

On Sunday the coldest air of the season will be moving into the area. Brisk west winds will also generate lake effect snow in the favored prime snowbelt areas to the east of Cleveland. Three to six inches of snow is expected where squalls and snow showers persist. Areas outside the snowball will see snow showers that should produce little if any accumulation. Expect high temperatures to stay in the middle to upper thirties (30's).  On Monday another quick moving but weak system will affect the area possibly with light snow showers and temperatures in the upper thirties (30's).

As the ridge of high pressure moves east of the region on Tuesday a warm up will commence. At the same time a trough of low pressure will develop over the Western USA. High temperatures will rebound to normal levels in the middle to upper forties (40's). On Wednesday the warm-up continues with temperatures in the lower fifties (50's) 

On Thursday the local area will still be enjoying mild temperature, middle fifties (50's), for this time of year. The storm system will begin to move from the West but high pressure will remain anchored near the East Coast. High temperatures appear to average above normal heading through the holiday weekend.

Active November

A strong cold front moved through the area yesterday ushering in much cooler and windy conditions.  Yesterday winds gusted over 50mph as temperatures in the middle fifties (50's) fell into the upper forties(40's). This is the same storm system that brought severe weather to the central Plain States on Wednesday. Today conditions are still breezy as a much cooler air mass has moved in. Local weather conditions will remain cool until Sunday when a much warmer air mass arrives. Another  strong low pressure system will dig into the Southern Plains generating a major threat for severe weather early next week. Mild  conditions will overspread much of the area next week before this system moves through. 

On Wednesday a potent compact storm system generated a line of severe thunderstorms that trekked across much of Iowa and northern Missouri into Illinois. Widespread wind damage was produced from the storms and at least ten(10) tornadoes have been confirmed with more being reviewed. Thankfully there were no deaths reported.

Currently much cooler, though seasonable air, is over spreading the region. High temperatures only made it into the upper forties (40's) before a trough of low pressure moved through dropping temperatures and generating rain and snow showers. Lake effect conditions will persist east of Cleveland with an inch or two of accumulation possible for Ashtabula and Northwest Pennsylvania; little accumulations expected elsewhere. Cool conditions will hang on for Saturday with high temperatures in the forties (40's) as skies clear area wide.

Much milder conditions will arrive on Sunday as cool high pressure moves east of the area. High temperatures will rise into the upper fifties(50's) and conditions will remain dry.

Mild conditions will continue on Monday with high temperatures around sixty (60) degrees. A strong storm system will move into the Southern Plains and will generate a strong threat for severe weather for Oklahoma and Texas. All modes of severe weather will be possible including tornadoes.

On Tuesday mild conditions will continue with high temperatures likely in the low sixties (60's). Please note the typical high temperature this time of the year is fifty-two (52 F). The strong storm system located over the Southern Plains will continue moving eastward with a threat of severe weather from Eastern Texas into the Louisiana. Once again all modes of severe weather including tornadoes will be possible. Wednesday will be the warmest day of the forecast with high temperatures possibly in the upper sixties (60's) if not seventy (70)! Rain showers will be possible overnight Wednesday.

On Thursday the first cool front will be moving through the area, possibly before sunrise. Showers will be possible much of the day as high temperatures will cool slightly to around sixty(60).

Cyclonic flow will persist on Friday. Conditions will continue to cool with high temperatures remaining in the lower to middle fifties(50's). Conditions may cool further  next weekend but only to seasonable levels as arctic air appears to remain locked up for the next week or so.

Record November Warmth

This has been a very warm start to the month of November.  Temperatures rose into the seventies (70's) four of the first five days of the month with a record high  of seventy-six (76) degrees being established on Thursday. Wednesday high of 78 was one degree shy of the record and is the fifth warmest temperature recorded in Cleveland during any November. A strong cold front is moving through the area today and temperatures this weekend will fall back to seasonable levels before rising above normal next week. The storm system that moved through the southern tier of the nation last week ended up being responsible for a small tornado outbreak as nearly three  dozen tornados touched down from Texas east to Georgia. Thankfully no deaths were attributed to the tornadoes.  

Today a strong cold front is moving through the region. High temperatures will be very warm today, upper sixties (60's), before much cooler and drier air moves in overnight. Saturday will be a much cooler though very seasonable day as high temperatures will be in the lower fifties (50's) Light lake effect rain showers will be possible over Northeast Ohio into Northwest Pennsylvania.

Sunday will be the coolest day of the weekend as high temperatures will only rise to around fifty(50) degrees. Beginning on Monday the area will be experiencing warm air advection so temperatures will rise into the middle and upper fifties (50's).

On Wednesday the area will be located well inside the warm sector of a storm system approaching from the west. High temperatures will be in the lower sixties (60's) and conditions should generally be dry. Locations to the west should be on alert as severe weather may be possible over the Central and Southern Plains.

On Thursday the storm system to the west will be approaching the local region. It will continue to strengthen and will be companied with showers and possible thunderstorms. High temperatures will be dependent on the amount of cloud cover but should at least be in the upper fifties(50's). Once the front moves through seasonable temperatures will return for the weekend. Arctic air appears to remain bottled up far to the north so air of pacific nature will continue to dominate the country.

Mild Start to November

Current weather conditions are much calmer than they were this time last week. Last week the strongest hurricane ever measured was moving towards the southwest coast of Mexico.  Currently the weather is generally quiet but there is a storm system affecting the Southern Plains and a cold upper level trough is lifting out the northeast portion of the country. The weather pattern will amplify during the next week with an upper level trough of low pressure affecting much of the western half of the country and upper level ridge of high pressure anchored over the southeast portion of the country. This will provide generally mild and dry weather for the local area through much of next week.

Currently the local area is under the influence of an upper level trough that is lifting out to the northeast. This system generated snow showers over the Upper Midwest and sent local temperatures five to ten (5-10) degrees below normal. The trough will move out late today and skies could partially clear. High temperatures around fifty (50) degrees today will rise in to the middle fifties (50’s) on Saturday.

Currently a storm system is affecting the Southern Plains with heavy rains and severe weather. The rains may worsen flooding conditions and a few isolated tornadoes will be possible today. The system will move east though the Southeast over the weekend spreading rain but the severe weather potential will decrease.

Sunday will be the first in what will be string of clear mild days for the local area. High temperatures will reach sixty (degrees) on Sunday and may rise to near seventy (70) by the middle of next week.

On Thursday a cool front will approach the area. Ahead of this front mild conditions will persist with temperatures near seventy (70) degrees. Rain will accompany the frontal passage and cooler temperatures will move in behind it for at least the first part of the weekend.

The mild weather pattern appears to continue into the second week of November. The first measurable snowfall for the local area appears to be at least several weeks away!

One week ago today Hurricane Patricia strengthened into an extraordinary hurricane with measured 200 mph winds and central pressure of 878 mb. Thankfully it was a small storm and moved ashore on a part of the coast that is not heavily populated. The system remnants generated a non-tropical system that spread heavy rain from Texas into much of the Eastern U.S.

Season’s First Snowflakes???

It is that time of the year again when the first snowflakes falling from the sky alerts us to the reality that summer is over until next year. It was literally only a few days ago the region was awash in brilliant sunshine and high temperatures well into the seventies (70’s). Today is the transitional day as the first cold front of a pair moved through late last night and today a surge of cold air will arrive behind the second front. That frontal passage will set the stage for an unsettled and cool weekend. The weather pattern is rather progressive and by early next week temperatures will be back at or above seasonal averages.

Currently a cold front is moving through the area signaling the arrival of cold air for this weekend. High temperatures today rose into the upper fifties (50's). Once the front moves through lake effect precipitation will begin overnight from Cleveland and points east. Most of the precipitation will be in the form of rain but snow and grapple will also mix in at times, especially late. No accumulations are expected. To the west of Cleveland conditions may be conducive for temperatures to crash over night with a hard freeze possible for many areas.

Over the weekend lake effect conditions will persist. During the daylight hours the precipitation will be in the form of rain as temperatures will be rise into the forties (40's). Overnight the precipitation will mix with snow and grapple, especially in the higher elevations to the east of Cleveland. The lake effect precipitation will come to an end late in the day on Sunday. Any snow accumulations will be minor, occur over the higher elevations and melt shortly after the heavy precipitation ends.

Just as soon as the cold air arrived on Friday it will depart on Monday. Cold high pressure will move east early in the day allowing much milder temperatures to move back into the region. After morning low temperatures near or below freezing temperatures afternoon temperatures will rise to near sixty degrees.  High temperatures on Tuesday and Wednesday will be in middle to upper sixties (60's) under generally clear skies.

The next cold front will approach the area on Thursday as a low pressure system moves through the central Great Lakes. High temperatures will be in the low sixties (60's) before rain showers associated with the front move through. The air behind this front will lower temperatures a few degrees below normal on Friday. Looking ahead to next weekend temperatures appear to rebound and could be a few degrees above normal.