Friday, August 28, 2015

Return to Summer

After a few days of cool, cloudy, fall like weather conditions temperatures will rebound back to very warm summery levels. A cold cutoff upper level low pressure has moved to the east allowing the area to break out into sunshine and much warmer conditions. High pressure will build in over the northeastern part of the country as a trough sets up over the Pacific Northwest. That will allow areas east of the Mississippi River to experience temperatures will into the eighties (80’s) and into the lower nineties (90’s). This pattern will also provide a means for any potential tropical system to affect the U.S.A. Last week Hurricane Danny reach major hurricane status before it met its demise at the hand of shear and dry air. Currently all eyes are on Tropical Storm Erika and its potential impacts on the southern tier next week.

























Currently the weather pattern is in the midst of a transition. Surface high pressure moving to the east allowing the flow to come out of the south. Locally this will boast temperatures into the upper seventies (70’s) for high today. Tomorrow a weak warm front will move north with a slight chance of isolated showers or thunderstorms. High temperatures will be in the lower eighties (80’s)

On Sunday a weak storm system will approach from the west but it will not move through the region. High temperatures will continue in the lower eighties (80’s) but will warm into the middle and upper eighties (80’s) by middle of the week.

On Wednesday the area will remain very warm. High temperatures will be well into the eighties (80’s) with the potential of even warmer conditions depending on the location of Erika or its remnants.  Looking past the middle of next week conditions appear to stay very warm with high pressure dominating the weather patter locally through the holiday weekend.


Tropical Storm Erika is currently moving through Hispaniola as a weak and disorganized tropical storm. If it survives this trek and the hostile atmospheric conditions the next two days it may poise a threat to Florida or the gulf coast. The predicted track as steadily moved west over the past few days as the system has been weaker than expected. The main immediate hazard from the storm will be flooding and mudslides as a result of the heavy rains.  Residents in Florida should keep a close eye on this storm as it progress the next several days. Landfall may occur as early as Monday morning or later dependent of the eventually track of the system.