Mild Start to November

Current weather conditions are much calmer than they were this time last week. Last week the strongest hurricane ever measured was moving towards the southwest coast of Mexico.  Currently the weather is generally quiet but there is a storm system affecting the Southern Plains and a cold upper level trough is lifting out the northeast portion of the country. The weather pattern will amplify during the next week with an upper level trough of low pressure affecting much of the western half of the country and upper level ridge of high pressure anchored over the southeast portion of the country. This will provide generally mild and dry weather for the local area through much of next week.

Currently the local area is under the influence of an upper level trough that is lifting out to the northeast. This system generated snow showers over the Upper Midwest and sent local temperatures five to ten (5-10) degrees below normal. The trough will move out late today and skies could partially clear. High temperatures around fifty (50) degrees today will rise in to the middle fifties (50’s) on Saturday.

Currently a storm system is affecting the Southern Plains with heavy rains and severe weather. The rains may worsen flooding conditions and a few isolated tornadoes will be possible today. The system will move east though the Southeast over the weekend spreading rain but the severe weather potential will decrease.

Sunday will be the first in what will be string of clear mild days for the local area. High temperatures will reach sixty (degrees) on Sunday and may rise to near seventy (70) by the middle of next week.

On Thursday a cool front will approach the area. Ahead of this front mild conditions will persist with temperatures near seventy (70) degrees. Rain will accompany the frontal passage and cooler temperatures will move in behind it for at least the first part of the weekend.

The mild weather pattern appears to continue into the second week of November. The first measurable snowfall for the local area appears to be at least several weeks away!

One week ago today Hurricane Patricia strengthened into an extraordinary hurricane with measured 200 mph winds and central pressure of 878 mb. Thankfully it was a small storm and moved ashore on a part of the coast that is not heavily populated. The system remnants generated a non-tropical system that spread heavy rain from Texas into much of the Eastern U.S.

Season’s First Snowflakes???

It is that time of the year again when the first snowflakes falling from the sky alerts us to the reality that summer is over until next year. It was literally only a few days ago the region was awash in brilliant sunshine and high temperatures well into the seventies (70’s). Today is the transitional day as the first cold front of a pair moved through late last night and today a surge of cold air will arrive behind the second front. That frontal passage will set the stage for an unsettled and cool weekend. The weather pattern is rather progressive and by early next week temperatures will be back at or above seasonal averages.

Currently a cold front is moving through the area signaling the arrival of cold air for this weekend. High temperatures today rose into the upper fifties (50's). Once the front moves through lake effect precipitation will begin overnight from Cleveland and points east. Most of the precipitation will be in the form of rain but snow and grapple will also mix in at times, especially late. No accumulations are expected. To the west of Cleveland conditions may be conducive for temperatures to crash over night with a hard freeze possible for many areas.

Over the weekend lake effect conditions will persist. During the daylight hours the precipitation will be in the form of rain as temperatures will be rise into the forties (40's). Overnight the precipitation will mix with snow and grapple, especially in the higher elevations to the east of Cleveland. The lake effect precipitation will come to an end late in the day on Sunday. Any snow accumulations will be minor, occur over the higher elevations and melt shortly after the heavy precipitation ends.

Just as soon as the cold air arrived on Friday it will depart on Monday. Cold high pressure will move east early in the day allowing much milder temperatures to move back into the region. After morning low temperatures near or below freezing temperatures afternoon temperatures will rise to near sixty degrees.  High temperatures on Tuesday and Wednesday will be in middle to upper sixties (60's) under generally clear skies.

The next cold front will approach the area on Thursday as a low pressure system moves through the central Great Lakes. High temperatures will be in the low sixties (60's) before rain showers associated with the front move through. The air behind this front will lower temperatures a few degrees below normal on Friday. Looking ahead to next weekend temperatures appear to rebound and could be a few degrees above normal.