Major Weather Change

A major albeit progressive weather pattern change is in the cards for Northeast Ohio. After yet another mild November week featuring record high temperatures a strong cold front has moved through the area. Temperatures have progressively cooled each day after Wednesday setting the stage for a very active weather weekend. This weekend will feature the Midwest's first snow storm and coldest air of the season. Do not fret if you are not quite ready for winter to set in as this cold blast will move out nearly as fast as it arrived by the middle of next week.

Before the present cool down reach the area the storm system generated a major late season tornado outbreak from 11/16-11/18. The total number of tornadoes has not been confirmed but will probably be more than forty (40) once over counts are removed.

Currently the local area is experiencing cool but quiet weather conditions. High temperatures today reached the middle forties (40's) which is actually seasonable for this time of year. A storm system is currently emerging from the Rockies and is generating heavy snow over Iowa (6"-12"+).

On Saturday the storm system will further organize and intensify over the middle Mississippi River Valley. Heavy snow totaling (6"-12"+) will blanket Southern Wisconsin and Northern Illinois. The storm system is predicted to move through northern Indiana into Michigan keeping the local area in the warm sector. High temperatures will warm into the middle forties (40's) with rain arriving late in the evening. Colder air will move in after the front moves through overnight changing the rain quickly and briefly to snow. A light accumulation of an inch or less will be possible most areas. Ground temperatures will be warm which may prevent any accumulations from the general snowfall.

On Sunday the coldest air of the season will be moving into the area. Brisk west winds will also generate lake effect snow in the favored prime snowbelt areas to the east of Cleveland. Three to six inches of snow is expected where squalls and snow showers persist. Areas outside the snowball will see snow showers that should produce little if any accumulation. Expect high temperatures to stay in the middle to upper thirties (30's).  On Monday another quick moving but weak system will affect the area possibly with light snow showers and temperatures in the upper thirties (30's).

As the ridge of high pressure moves east of the region on Tuesday a warm up will commence. At the same time a trough of low pressure will develop over the Western USA. High temperatures will rebound to normal levels in the middle to upper forties (40's). On Wednesday the warm-up continues with temperatures in the lower fifties (50's) 

On Thursday the local area will still be enjoying mild temperature, middle fifties (50's), for this time of year. The storm system will begin to move from the West but high pressure will remain anchored near the East Coast. High temperatures appear to average above normal heading through the holiday weekend.

Active November

A strong cold front moved through the area yesterday ushering in much cooler and windy conditions.  Yesterday winds gusted over 50mph as temperatures in the middle fifties (50's) fell into the upper forties(40's). This is the same storm system that brought severe weather to the central Plain States on Wednesday. Today conditions are still breezy as a much cooler air mass has moved in. Local weather conditions will remain cool until Sunday when a much warmer air mass arrives. Another  strong low pressure system will dig into the Southern Plains generating a major threat for severe weather early next week. Mild  conditions will overspread much of the area next week before this system moves through. 

On Wednesday a potent compact storm system generated a line of severe thunderstorms that trekked across much of Iowa and northern Missouri into Illinois. Widespread wind damage was produced from the storms and at least ten(10) tornadoes have been confirmed with more being reviewed. Thankfully there were no deaths reported.

Currently much cooler, though seasonable air, is over spreading the region. High temperatures only made it into the upper forties (40's) before a trough of low pressure moved through dropping temperatures and generating rain and snow showers. Lake effect conditions will persist east of Cleveland with an inch or two of accumulation possible for Ashtabula and Northwest Pennsylvania; little accumulations expected elsewhere. Cool conditions will hang on for Saturday with high temperatures in the forties (40's) as skies clear area wide.

Much milder conditions will arrive on Sunday as cool high pressure moves east of the area. High temperatures will rise into the upper fifties(50's) and conditions will remain dry.

Mild conditions will continue on Monday with high temperatures around sixty (60) degrees. A strong storm system will move into the Southern Plains and will generate a strong threat for severe weather for Oklahoma and Texas. All modes of severe weather will be possible including tornadoes.

On Tuesday mild conditions will continue with high temperatures likely in the low sixties (60's). Please note the typical high temperature this time of the year is fifty-two (52 F). The strong storm system located over the Southern Plains will continue moving eastward with a threat of severe weather from Eastern Texas into the Louisiana. Once again all modes of severe weather including tornadoes will be possible. Wednesday will be the warmest day of the forecast with high temperatures possibly in the upper sixties (60's) if not seventy (70)! Rain showers will be possible overnight Wednesday.

On Thursday the first cool front will be moving through the area, possibly before sunrise. Showers will be possible much of the day as high temperatures will cool slightly to around sixty(60).

Cyclonic flow will persist on Friday. Conditions will continue to cool with high temperatures remaining in the lower to middle fifties(50's). Conditions may cool further  next weekend but only to seasonable levels as arctic air appears to remain locked up for the next week or so.

Record November Warmth

This has been a very warm start to the month of November.  Temperatures rose into the seventies (70's) four of the first five days of the month with a record high  of seventy-six (76) degrees being established on Thursday. Wednesday high of 78 was one degree shy of the record and is the fifth warmest temperature recorded in Cleveland during any November. A strong cold front is moving through the area today and temperatures this weekend will fall back to seasonable levels before rising above normal next week. The storm system that moved through the southern tier of the nation last week ended up being responsible for a small tornado outbreak as nearly three  dozen tornados touched down from Texas east to Georgia. Thankfully no deaths were attributed to the tornadoes.  

Today a strong cold front is moving through the region. High temperatures will be very warm today, upper sixties (60's), before much cooler and drier air moves in overnight. Saturday will be a much cooler though very seasonable day as high temperatures will be in the lower fifties (50's) Light lake effect rain showers will be possible over Northeast Ohio into Northwest Pennsylvania.

Sunday will be the coolest day of the weekend as high temperatures will only rise to around fifty(50) degrees. Beginning on Monday the area will be experiencing warm air advection so temperatures will rise into the middle and upper fifties (50's).

On Wednesday the area will be located well inside the warm sector of a storm system approaching from the west. High temperatures will be in the lower sixties (60's) and conditions should generally be dry. Locations to the west should be on alert as severe weather may be possible over the Central and Southern Plains.

On Thursday the storm system to the west will be approaching the local region. It will continue to strengthen and will be companied with showers and possible thunderstorms. High temperatures will be dependent on the amount of cloud cover but should at least be in the upper fifties(50's). Once the front moves through seasonable temperatures will return for the weekend. Arctic air appears to remain bottled up far to the north so air of pacific nature will continue to dominate the country.