Saturday, January 21, 2017

Southern Severe Outbreak


A mild and wet pattern has largely held control over the local weather for the past ten days. A record high temperature of sixty-one (61) degrees was reached on Tuesday and temperatures have been above normal ever since. A strong storm system moving across the deep South will generate a severe weather outbreak over the weekend before moving north along the Atlantic Coast. Another storm system will bring wet conditions for the middle of the week before colder air arrives behind it bringing temperatures back to seasonal normals.






















 Currently the local area is experiencing mild and dry conditions. High temperatures reach the sixties(60's) across much of northern Ohio today under veiled sunshine. Across the Deep South the tornado outbreak as already turned deadly as at least four people died overnight in Mississippi from a tornado.



A severe weather outbreak has been affecting the Deep South today. It began with early morning severe weather and tornadoes across southern Mississippi and it has continued east through South Carolina. Numerous damage reports from wind, hail, and tornadoes have been reported. Another round of severe weather will originate near the southern Mississippi River Valley this evening and move east overnight. All modes of severe weather, including tornadoes, will accompany it. 


Sunday the local area will begin to be affected by a storm system approaching from the south. High temperatures will approach sixty (60) before the rain arrives during the evening. The storm system will continue producing severe weather across the Southeast.


The severe weather outbreak will likely continue across the Southeast on Sunday. Severe weather in the morning will continue pushing east across Georgia and the Carolinas. A regeneration of severe weather will be likely as the cold front pushes through during the evening. All modes of severe weather will be possible.



On Monday the southern storm system will push northward along the Atlantic coast and transition to a Nor'easter. Due to the lack of cold air much of the precipitation will fall as rain with snow confined to the higher elevations in New England.  Northern Ohio will experience rain much of the day and high temperatures will settle into the forties(40's). Overnight a mix and/or change over to snow will be possible if temperatures cool enough.  On Tuesday conditions will be dry with high temperatures near forty (40).


On Wednesday a storm system will approach from the west. High temperatures will be around fifty(50) and rainfall is likely. Temperatures overnight will cool enough for rain to change over to snow showers. On Thursday snow showers will be possible with high temperatures in the middle thirties (30's).


Conditions will continue to cool on Friday as colder airs arrives out of Canada. Snow showers will be on going with accumulations possible overnight into Saturday. High temperatures will likely be in the lower thirties (30's)


Friday, January 6, 2017

Cold and Southern Snow Storm

 Cold arctic air returned to Northeast Ohio yesterday after a weak storm system put down a general one to two inches of snow. Temperatures briefly rose yesterday before falling much of the day. The cold air moving south is setting the stage for a major winter storm for the Deep South. More cold air will move out of Canada for the second half of the weekend before zonal flow takes over the Eastern USA leading to much more seasonable conditions.


















Today a very cold airmass is spreading across the eastern half of the nation. Local temperatures started in the single digits with subzero windchill's this morning and only recovered into the middle teens. An active front is draped across the South and will allow a storm system to run along it bringing wintry precipitation from Texas to the Virginia tonight. 


The heaviest snow at this time appears to fall from North Georgia to Virginia. The Atlanta metro may receive two to four (2-4)inches of snow with sleet and ice to its south. Snowfall will increase to the Northeast of Atlanta with totals approaching six inches near Charlotte and possibly a foot near Norfolk, Va. Residents in these areas are urged to take extreme caution when traveling.


Saturday the cold airmass will remain over the area. A weak storm system will approach from the west and may generate light snow overnight. High temperatures will be around twenty (20). Along the East Coast the southern storm system will be moving up the coast but offshore. Heavy snow is possible for Eastern Long Island to Eastern Massachusetts. On Sunday cold air will continue flowing into the area with Lake Effect snow possible; amounts uncertain at this time. High temperatures will be in the teens (10's)


On Monday a large high pressure will push east of the area. After a cold morning southwesterly flow should push afternoon temperatures to around thirty (30). On Tuesday precipitation may start as snow before transitioning to rain. High temperatures will push into the lower forties (40's)


On Wednesday a cold front will push through the area. Rain showers will accompany its passage and could change to snow before ending. High temperatures will be near forty (40).


On Thursday another system will approach from the west as high pressure quickly moves off to the east. High temperatures may approach fifty (50) with enough sunshine. With a zonal pattern over the East fast moving systems will keep conditions wet and seasonable as the coldest air moves back into Canada.