Mild Fall Weather

November 2015 was the 4th warmest November in Cleveland history! Temperatures for the month averaged more than four(4) degrees above normal and snowfall amounted to nearly one half inch. This is in stark contrast to November 2014 when the average temperature was nearly seven(7) degrees below normal and nearly twenty (20) inches of snow fell. This mild temperature pattern does not show any signs of abating in the near term. Mild wet conditions will occur today before a mid-week cool down brings temperatures back to seasonable levels. As the weekend gets underway temperatures five to ten (5-10) degrees above normal will return. 

Currently a strong upper level storm system is spreading heavy snow across the Upper Plains. This storm system is affecting the local area with light rain and mild conditions. High temperatures today will rise well into the fifties (50's) A cool front will move through overnight allowing seasonal chilly air to return with high temperatures in the forties (40's) on Wednesday. Rain showers during the day may mix and change over to snow overnight. Little accumulation is expected. 

Thursday will be the coolest day of the forecast as high pressure begins to dominate the weather conditions. High temperatures will remain in the lower forties (40's) with a slight chance of snow showers especially early in the day. High pressure moves east across the area on Friday and will begin a period of calm and warming conditions. High temperatures in the middle forties (40's) on Friday will warm to a few degrees of either side of fifty (50) over the weekend. Skies should remain partly to mostly sunny the entire weekend.

The same weather pattern and conditions will continue on Monday as a storm system begins to move out from the Southern Plains. With air of Pacific origins across the country no Arctic air outbreaks are likely for the next seven days or more. 

Major Weather Change

A major albeit progressive weather pattern change is in the cards for Northeast Ohio. After yet another mild November week featuring record high temperatures a strong cold front has moved through the area. Temperatures have progressively cooled each day after Wednesday setting the stage for a very active weather weekend. This weekend will feature the Midwest's first snow storm and coldest air of the season. Do not fret if you are not quite ready for winter to set in as this cold blast will move out nearly as fast as it arrived by the middle of next week.

Before the present cool down reach the area the storm system generated a major late season tornado outbreak from 11/16-11/18. The total number of tornadoes has not been confirmed but will probably be more than forty (40) once over counts are removed.

Currently the local area is experiencing cool but quiet weather conditions. High temperatures today reached the middle forties (40's) which is actually seasonable for this time of year. A storm system is currently emerging from the Rockies and is generating heavy snow over Iowa (6"-12"+).

On Saturday the storm system will further organize and intensify over the middle Mississippi River Valley. Heavy snow totaling (6"-12"+) will blanket Southern Wisconsin and Northern Illinois. The storm system is predicted to move through northern Indiana into Michigan keeping the local area in the warm sector. High temperatures will warm into the middle forties (40's) with rain arriving late in the evening. Colder air will move in after the front moves through overnight changing the rain quickly and briefly to snow. A light accumulation of an inch or less will be possible most areas. Ground temperatures will be warm which may prevent any accumulations from the general snowfall.

On Sunday the coldest air of the season will be moving into the area. Brisk west winds will also generate lake effect snow in the favored prime snowbelt areas to the east of Cleveland. Three to six inches of snow is expected where squalls and snow showers persist. Areas outside the snowball will see snow showers that should produce little if any accumulation. Expect high temperatures to stay in the middle to upper thirties (30's).  On Monday another quick moving but weak system will affect the area possibly with light snow showers and temperatures in the upper thirties (30's).

As the ridge of high pressure moves east of the region on Tuesday a warm up will commence. At the same time a trough of low pressure will develop over the Western USA. High temperatures will rebound to normal levels in the middle to upper forties (40's). On Wednesday the warm-up continues with temperatures in the lower fifties (50's) 

On Thursday the local area will still be enjoying mild temperature, middle fifties (50's), for this time of year. The storm system will begin to move from the West but high pressure will remain anchored near the East Coast. High temperatures appear to average above normal heading through the holiday weekend.