A January thaw is
currently underway. Before we move forward, let’s take a minute to look at the
Arctic cold that was experienced this week. Though the air was brutally cold,
for most it was not historically cold. Broadly, not a single monthly or
all-time record low temperature was set at any NOAA observing station during
the event. Readings across Northeast Ohio were similar but not colder than the
readings reached in January 2009. Some regions of the country did see the
coldest air since 1996 or 1994 but this speaks more of the increase in time
period between cold waves than the intensity of the cold wave that we
experienced. Historic cold is a good media story, but in truth the story
does not hold up.
Now let’s look at the
upcoming weather for the region. A warm front generated light snows overnight
and will be moving northward allowing temperatures in the 40's and rain to
spread across the area. The heaviest rain will fall tonight and early tomorrow
morning. A cold front of Pacific origin will move through on Saturday which
will bring temperatures down into the 30's Saturday afternoon. Sunday and
Monday will be quiet with high temperatures remaining around 40 with a chance
of rain on Monday.
Currently a storm system is organizing over the Central Plains producing a southwest flow over the area. This system will track well to our west keeping our region in the warm sector until the front passes. Temperatures will rise into the 40's with abundant cold cover throughout the day and rain moving in overnight.

Monday another storm system will be approaching the area with rain accompanying it. Temperatures on Tuesday will cool further with high temperatures falling from the 40's on Monday to around 30 on Tuesday.
The extended is showing the early week warmth will move out and be replaced with more cold air as the weekend approaches. At this time a return to much below temperatures are not expected but high temperatures will be below normal by the weekend and will hold in the 20's.



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