Monday, March 23, 2015

Temperature Swings and Severe Weather Potential



Astrological Spring started this past weekend and the region experienced both spring and winter. Temperatures on Saturday warmed into the low fifties (50’s) before a cold front moved through and was responsible for Sunday’s below freezing high temperatures. Today the area is still unseasonably chilly as an Alberta Clipper is quickly weakening as it tracks to the south of the area. Tomorrow high temperatures will be more seasonable as a strong system takes shape over the middle portion of the country. This system will provide a large swing up and later down in the temperature department this week for the region. It will also bring the possibility of this March's first tornado. 















Currently cold high pressure is retreating to the east as a weakening Alberta Clipper is moving to the south of the region. This clipper was much more vigorous in Sunday as it dropped nearly one foot of snow on parts of Minnesota and Iowa. Today nearly six (6) inches of snow fell on parts of Northern Illinois. 


Tomorrow will be mostly quiet but chilly for the area as a storm system takes shape over the middle portion of the country. Locally high temperatures will rise into the forties (40’s). Across the middle portion of the country returning moisture and a strengthening storm system will lead to the possibility of severe thunderstorms from Oklahoma into Missouri. Large hail, strong winds and an isolated tornado or two will be possible.

 
 On Wednesday the storm system will continue to strengthen and send a warm front north of the local area. This will allow temperatures to surge up into the sixties (60’s) before a cold front moves through overnight. Locally the conditions may be unstable enough for thundershowers to move through. Further south from Southern Illinois into Northern Texas severe weather will be possible. There will be a threat of large hail, strong winds, and isolated tornadoes again. 


On Thursday the system will be moving through the local area with the artic front appearing to arrive late Thursday. Temperatures will reach their max early with them falling through the day. As the colder air arrives overnight snow showers will be possible lasting into Friday. Accumulations at this time appear to be minimal if they occur at all. Cold high pressure will control the weather on Friday and Saturday keeping high temperatures in the thirties (30’s). 

On Sunday another system will be quickly approaching from the northwest. Temperatures will rise at least into the forties (40’s) dependent on the timing of the clouds and cold front. Air behind this cold front to not appear to be as cold with high temperatures after its passage around forty (40) degrees on Monday.

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